Controlled vocabulary · schema v1.0.0

Data dictionary

GII-US scorecard dimensions, Decision Impact Record field groups, lifecycle states, decision origins, and controlled missingness states.

The definitional layer of GII-US: scorecard dimensions, the Decision Impact Record contract, decision-origin codes, and lifecycle states. Field-level JSON Schema ships with the pilot; the definitions below are normative now.

Scorecard dimensions#

SymbolDimensionScaleDefinition
GII-MImpact magnitude0–100Attributable reach and severity of a decision's consequences, independent of benefit or burden direction. The primary headline. A large burden and a large benefit can both be high-impact decisions.
GII-DDirectional balance−100 to +100Balance of measured benefits and burdens under preregistered orientation rules, computed over the oriented-indicator set O. Not ideology, approval, or partisanship.
GII-CAttribution confidence0–100Weighted sum of five sub-scores: strength of causal identification, data quality, implementation fidelity, robustness, and transparency. The five weights sum to 1, so confidence is bounded by its lowest and highest sub-score.
GII-KDistributional concentration0–100Total variation distance between impact shares and the reference population, on fractional shares: K = 50 × Σ|p − q|. Concentration, not a justice verdict.
GII-VCoverage0–100%Share of preregistered applicable outcome weight supported by usable evidence. Headline observed scores are withheld below a provisional coverage threshold.
GII-SEvidence maturitycategoricalWatch, forecast, nowcast, provisional observed, mature observed, revised, or withdrawn. Forecast and observed values are never averaged together.
A blank value, zero, not-applicable, legally-unavailable, not-yet-observed, and not-estimable are six different states. Required fields may be null only with a controlled missingness reason; missing weight is never silently redistributed.

Stable identifier#

GII-US-[YEAR]-[ORIGIN]-[TYPE]-[SERIAL]-[VERSION]
  e.g. GII-US-2027-EXE-AGY-RULE-0042-v1   (illustrative only)

A materially revised analytic record increments its version while retaining root event identity; distinct implementing events receive distinct identifiers linked to the same lineage, so they are different events rather than versions of one. External source identifiers (including PEPI-native IDs) are preserved verbatim in the adapter layer only and are never surfaced in GII records.

The shape is enforced, not merely published. A record whose identifier is malformed — or whose embedded origin or instrument type disagrees with the record’s own — fails the quality controls and is not scored. Note that an origin code itself contains a hyphen, so an identifier cannot be split on hyphens and read positionally: EXE-AGY-RULE read that way gives origin EXE and type AGY, which looks entirely plausible and is wrong.

Decision origins#

The nine origin codes, and how each rolls up in the national series
CodeOriginAggregation
LEG-CONGCongressLegislative subindex
EXE-PRESPresident and Executive OfficePresidential-action subindex
EXE-AGYExecutive departments and agenciesExecutive-agency subindex
IND-REGIndependent regulatorsIndependent-regulatory subindex
JUD-SCOTUSSupreme CourtStandalone view, counted once within Judiciary
JUD-COACourts of appealsAppellate subindex
JUD-DISTDistrict and specialty courtsLower-court subindex
FED-MONFederal Reserve SystemMonetary/central-bank subindex
INTG-IMPLIntergovernmental implementation actorImplementation event; not an originating decision

Instrument types#

A closed enumeration, and the second column is a rule rather than a description. Watch-stage instruments receive no observed-impact score — they may be stored and tracked, and the headline is barred categorically, whatever else the record satisfies. An instrument kind that is not on this list is treated the same way: a kind nobody has classified is a kind nobody has decided about.

What may carry an observed score, and what may not
CodeInstrumentObserved score
STATUTEStatute or statutory provisioneligible
APPROPAppropriationeligible
TAXTax changeeligible
RULEFinal rule or rescissioneligible
PRESACTPresidential actioneligible
GUIDANCEMaterial administrative guidanceeligible
WAIVERWaivereligible
GRANTGranteligible
PROCUREProcurement decisioneligible
ENFORCEEnforcement shifteligible
ADMORDERAdministrative order or adjudicationeligible
OPINIONFederal judicial holding or ordereligible
TRADETrade measureeligible
SANCTIONSanctioneligible
EXPCTRLExport controleligible
TARIFFTariffeligible
MONETARYFederal Reserve decisioneligible
BILLIntroduced billbarred
PROPRULEProposed rulebarred
LITIGPending litigationbarred
PROMISEPolitical promisebarred
SPEECHSpeech or remarksbarred
SPECULATIONPress speculationbarred
ANNOUNCEUnenforced announcementbarred

The five clocks#

Government impact does not run on one date. Each clock must fall on or after the one before it, and a record whose outcome is measured before the decision that caused it is refused rather than reported — that ordering describes an impossibility, and an impossibility in a dataset is nearly always a data error. The one permitted reversal is anticipation: affected parties really do act on an announced change before it takes effect, and a record claiming it must name anticipation as a threat in its causal statement.

National series attribution runs on the exposure clock, not the publication date. A decision with a long implementation lag does not begin contributing on the day it issued; it begins when someone felt it.

What each clock answers
ClockQuestion
decisionWhen did the institution act?
legalWhen did authority or obligations change?
implementationWhen did systems, funding, enforcement, or processes change?
exposureWhen did affected groups experience the change?
measurementWhen did outcomes become observable and data get released?
revisionWhat has been corrected, revised, amended, or judicially revisited since — a list, because corrections happen more than once.

The required causal statement#

Every observed-impact record states these before data analysis, and an observed headline is withheld without them. They are separate fields rather than one prose block on purpose: nobody can say which of the eight a paragraph omitted, and everybody assumes it covered them.

What a record must state before its outcome is analysed
ElementRequired
treatedUnitThe treated unit, group, jurisdiction, market, or time period.
treatmentThe operative treatment and exposure definition.
outcomeThe outcome and measurement period.
counterfactualQuestionThe counterfactual question.
mechanismThe expected mechanism and lag.
concurrentConcurrent decisions and external shocks.
threatsSpillovers, anticipation, attrition, substitution, and interference risks.
refutationThe conditions under which the attribution would be weakened or rejected.
estimandThe core estimand, in plain language as well as technical notation.

The last of these — the conditions under which the attribution would be weakened or rejected — is the one most likely to be skipped, because it is the only one that asks the author to describe how they might be wrong. It is required, and its absence withholds the headline.

Decision Impact Record — field groups#

GroupRequired contents
IdentityGII ID, authoritative title, public short title, decision origin, institution, instrument type
AuthorityStatutory or constitutional authority, citations, originating and implementing actors
StatusProposed/watch, final, effective, implemented, stayed, vacated, superseded, expired, withdrawn
DatesDecision, publication, legal effect, implementation, exposure start/end, observation cutoff
ScopeGeography, jurisdiction, population, entity class, exclusions, legal reach
LineageParent, child, implements, modifies, litigates, stays, supersedes, depends on, overlaps with
Theory of changeMechanism, assumptions, mediators, expected timing, spillovers, failure conditions
OutcomesDomain, measure, unit, population, orientation rule, source, data vintage, time horizon
EstimationCounterfactual, design, sample, model, treatment definition, estimate, uncertainty, diagnostics
ScorecardMagnitude, direction, confidence, concentration, coverage, maturity, withhold flags
DistributionBenefit and burden groups, shares, incidence, denominator, privacy and suppression rules
ProvenanceRetrieval URI, publisher, license, checksum, schema, transformation, code/model version
ReviewLegal, methods, data, domain, editorial reviewers; conflicts; decisions; timestamps
PublicationRelease, revision, correction, deprecation, citation, API and download location

Lifecycle and maturity states#

StateMeaning and headline use
WatchDiscussed, introduced, proposed, or pending without operative exposure. No observed score.
ForecastProspective estimate with documented assumptions. Forecast product only.
NowcastEarly estimate on partial or high-frequency evidence. Clearly labeled; not mature.
Provisional observedOperative exposure with initial observed outcomes. Eligible with caveats.
Mature observedSufficient outcome horizon and stable evidence. Eligible.
RevisedSource data, model, scope, or legal status changed. New version; prior retained.
Withdrawn/deprecatedAnalytic record invalidated or replaced. Not current; explanation retained.